{"id":39250,"date":"2014-12-05T10:28:10","date_gmt":"2014-12-05T16:28:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/?p=39250"},"modified":"2014-12-05T10:28:10","modified_gmt":"2014-12-05T16:28:10","slug":"if-el-nino-ever-arrives-it-likely-wont-bring-much-rain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/2014\/12\/05\/if-el-nino-ever-arrives-it-likely-wont-bring-much-rain\/","title":{"rendered":"If El Nino Ever Arrives, It Likely Wont Bring Much Rain"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_39257\"  class=\"wp-caption module image right\" style=\"max-width: 300px;\"><a class=\"fancybox\" title=\"El Nino heats up parts of the ocean, and begins a pattern that can bring rain to North America.\" href=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/files\/2014\/12\/el-nino-map-III.jpg\" rel=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-39257\" alt=\"El Nino heats up parts of the ocean, and begins a pattern that can bring rain to North America.\" src=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/files\/2014\/12\/el-nino-map-III-300x152.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"152\" srcset=\"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/files\/2014\/12\/el-nino-map-III-300x152.jpg 300w, https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/files\/2014\/12\/el-nino-map-III-620x316.jpg 620w, https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/files\/2014\/12\/el-nino-map-III.jpg 1081w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-media-credit\"> <\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">El Nino heats up parts of the ocean, and begins a pattern that can bring rain to North America.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/\">Climate Prediction Center<\/a>\u00a0is out with an update on El Nino. \u00a0The weather pattern is often associated with heavy rains, so watching for its arrival has become something of an obsession in drought-stricken parts of the country like Texas.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_disc_oct2014\/ensodisc.pdf\" data-mce-=\"\">In October<\/a>, the center was giving odds that the pattern would form before the end of the year. \u00a0That hasn\u2019t happened yet. The reason is that warmer than average temperatures in parts of the Pacific Ocean have\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/2014\/09\/11\/texas-and-the-on-again-off-again-el-nino\/\" data-mce-=\"\">not heated up atmospheric temperatures<\/a>\u00a0as they\u2019re expected to do.<\/p>\n<p>On Thursday, the weather service said El Nino was still likely to appear, but might come later than previously thought. Researchers now give<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_advisory\/ensodisc.html\" data-mce-=\"\">\u00a0a 65 percent chance<\/a>\u00a0of El Nino forming\u00a0some time this winter, but not\u00a0necessarily\u00a0by the end of the year.<\/p>\n<p>Forecasters are also predicting that the El Nino will not have a particularly strong impact on the weather.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->\u201cIt looks like it will only be a weak El Nino,&#8221; says\u00a0Victor Murphy, the Service Program Manager for the National Weather Service in Fort Worth.\u00a0&#8220;So, unfortunately I would not look for any significant or widespread drought improvement.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Those words are bound to disappoint\u00a0many Texans hoping for rains to replenish depleted reservoirs before the scorching summer months.<\/p>\n<p>But if a weak El Nino does arrive this winter, &#8220;at least getting the needle up pointed in the right direction will be a start,&#8221; Murphy offered.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0Climate Prediction Center\u00a0is out with an update on El Nino. \u00a0The weather pattern is often associated with heavy rains, so watching for its arrival has become something of an obsession in drought-stricken parts of the country like Texas. In October, the center was giving odds that the pattern would form before the end of the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":51,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[58],"tags":[386],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39250"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39250"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39250\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39268,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39250\/revisions\/39268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}