{"id":14462,"date":"2012-07-06T08:00:02","date_gmt":"2012-07-06T13:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/?p=14462"},"modified":"2012-07-06T11:26:06","modified_gmt":"2012-07-06T16:26:06","slug":"to-break-the-drought-hoping-for-a-perfect-storm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/2012\/07\/06\/to-break-the-drought-hoping-for-a-perfect-storm\/","title":{"rendered":"To Break the Drought, Hoping for a Perfect Storm"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s a typical summer in Texas: hot and dry with occasional bursts of scattered showers. But as the state continues to recover from a historic drought, more than typical weather is needed.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_14521\"  class=\"wp-caption module image right\" style=\"max-width: 255px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/2012\/07\/06\/to-break-the-drought-hoping-for-a-perfect-storm\/picture-2\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-14521\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-14521\" src=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/files\/2012\/07\/Picture-2-255x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"255\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/files\/2012\/07\/Picture-2-255x300.png 255w, https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/files\/2012\/07\/Picture-2.png 410w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 255px) 100vw, 255px\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">yum9me \/ Flickr\/Creative Commons<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">An action figure of X-Men&#39;s Storm. Her ability to conjure up powerful storms would be highly coveted in drought-stricken Texas.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>One way the state can receive precipitation during the summer&#8217;s dog days is a tropical storm. Of course, such an event can do as much harm as good. And absent the talents of the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Storm_(Marvel_Comics)\">X-Men&#8217;s Storm<\/a>, there&#8217;s no way to conjure up such an event.<\/p>\n<p>Bob Rose, meteorologist at the Lower Colorado River Authority (LCRA), explains what a heat-beating storm would look like: &#8220;If we could somehow get a weak tropical storm, or a tropical depression, to come inland maybe along the lower or middle Texas coast, and work its way into Central Texas,&#8221; he says, that would be &#8220;our perfect mix for bringing significant rain and cooler temperatures.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Victor Murphy of the National Weather Service agrees with the nourishing potential of a tropical storm. He says that &#8220;a tropical cyclone or at the very least a tropical disturbance&#8221; would be &#8220;the only shot for significant widespread improvement until the fall.&#8221; The downside, Murphy explains, is that there is often no way to confirm that a storm is headed toward Texas until, at most, a week out from its landing.<\/p>\n<p>Absent the perfect storm, does Texas have any hopes of breaking the drought anytime soon?<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Bob Rose provides the discouraging news. Even though the last portions of the state <a href=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/2012\/06\/21\/in-drought-texas-is-no-longer-exceptional-for-now\/#more-13221\">recently left &#8220;exceptional drought,<\/a>&#8221; the worst stage possible, he explains that much of the state is regressing into more extreme stages. &#8220;If we don&#8217;t see any significant rain in July, I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised to see this extreme drought expand across much of the rest of Central Texas.&#8221;\u00a0(See the most recent numbers in this week&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/droughtmonitor.unl.edu\/DM_state.htm?TX,S\">US Drought Monitor Map<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>Victor Murphy\u00a0says the past couple of months have been abnormally dry for much of the state, despite a wet start to the year. &#8220;For the period from May 16 to July 5, a period of almost seven weeks, the Austin area has seen only 0.44 inches [of rain],&#8221; he said in an e-mail. In an average year, Austin would get six inches of rain during the same period, making the past seven weeks &#8220;the driest such period on record in Austin in over 100 years (since 1911).&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>But despite these dour conditions in the short-term, there are promising projections for relief in the long run.\u00a0Murphy says that &#8220;with each passing day, it&#8217;s looking more and more certain&#8221; that an El Ni\u00f1o weather pattern will arrive in the fall to lead us out of the meteorological black, since <a href=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/2012\/06\/07\/is-the-drought-ending-who-really-knows\/\">El Ni\u00f1os typically bring above-average precipitation<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>If anything, Texans can take solace in the fact that <a href=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/2012\/07\/05\/for-texas-ranchers-the-grass-isnt-always-greener\/\">this summer is not\u00a0projected to be as stifling as last year<\/a>. Bob Rose estimates that, even though Austin had 90 days in the triple digits last year, &#8220;this summer we&#8217;re probably gonna end up with a total of something around twenty to twenty-five&#8221; days over a hundred degrees. Less scorching weather is a nice prospect, but the even greater hope is for the perfect storm.<\/p>\n<h5><em>Daniel Ramirez is an intern with StateImpact Texas.<\/em><\/h5>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s a typical summer in Texas: hot and dry with occasional bursts of scattered showers. But as the state continues to recover from a historic drought, more than typical weather is needed. One way the state can receive precipitation during the summer&#8217;s dog days is a tropical storm. Of course, such an event can do [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":81,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[58],"tags":[61,140,110,31],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14462"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/81"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14462"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14462\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14543,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14462\/revisions\/14543"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14462"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14462"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/texas\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14462"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}