{"id":9495,"date":"2012-07-31T13:20:50","date_gmt":"2012-07-31T19:20:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/?p=9495"},"modified":"2012-08-01T08:21:20","modified_gmt":"2012-08-01T14:21:20","slug":"idahos-quarterly-economic-forecast-places-growth-on-old-industries","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/2012\/07\/31\/idahos-quarterly-economic-forecast-places-growth-on-old-industries\/","title":{"rendered":"Idaho&#8217;s Quarterly Economic Forecast Places Growth On Old Industries"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_5271\"  class=\"wp-caption module image left\" style=\"max-width: 300px;\"><a class=\"fancybox\" title=\"Crescent Silver Mine in Idaho's panhandle.  The region is known as the &quot;silver belt&quot;.\" href=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/files\/2012\/02\/CrescentMine_UnitedSilver.jpg\" rel=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-5271\" title=\"CrescentMine_UnitedSilver\" src=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/files\/2012\/02\/CrescentMine_UnitedSilver-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/files\/2012\/02\/CrescentMine_UnitedSilver-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/files\/2012\/02\/CrescentMine_UnitedSilver-620x465.jpg 620w, https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/files\/2012\/02\/CrescentMine_UnitedSilver-220x165.jpg 220w, https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/files\/2012\/02\/CrescentMine_UnitedSilver-138x103.jpg 138w, https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/files\/2012\/02\/CrescentMine_UnitedSilver.jpg 800w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">United Silver Corp.<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Crescent Silver Mine in Idaho&#39;s panhandle. The region is known as the &quot;silver belt&quot;.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Idaho&#8217;s chief economist predicts the state will remain in growth mode over the next few years, but the rate of that growth has been ratcheted down.<\/p>\n<p>The Division of Financial Management&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/dfm.idaho.gov\/Publications\/EAB\/Forecast\/2012\/July\/ieffulldocument_July2012.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">quarterly economic forecast<\/a>, authored by chief economist Derek Santos, lays out employment and sector growth through 2015.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/dfm.idaho.gov\/Publications\/EAB\/Forecast\/2012\/July\/ieffulldocument_July2012.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">latest report<\/a> estimates Idaho will continue to add jobs, although 2,500 fewer over the next three years than predicted in April&#8217;s forecast.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Much of the drag on the labor market comes from a few slow growing sectors, like computer and electronics, miscellaneous <!--more-->nondurables, and financial activities. The encouraging news is that the growth rate is still positive, and being held up by several sectors that grew stronger and had an upwardly revised forecast this quarter, like food processing, mining, and construction.&#8221; &#8211; DFM&#8217;s July Forecast<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The sectors Santos anticipates will see the biggest increases are some of Idaho&#8217;s mainstays: mining, agriculture and construction.<\/p>\n<p>The new <a title=\"New York Yogurt Maker Bringing 400 Jobs to Twin Falls, Idaho\" href=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/2011\/11\/03\/new-york-yogurt-maker-bringing-400-jobs-to-twin-falls-idaho\/\" target=\"_blank\">Chobani Greek Yogurt<\/a> facility being built in Twin Falls is to thank for the ag-related jobs growth.\u00a0 As for mining, the Division estimates about 3,000 people will work in the industry by 2015, an employment level the sector hasn&#8217;t seen in more than 20 years.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Several factors point to continued employment growth in the state\u2019s mining sector. They include strong metal prices, increased exploration, and forecasted national metal ore production increases.&#8221; &#8211; DFM&#8217;s July Forecast<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Idaho&#8217;s<a title=\"Construction: The Heart of Idaho\u2019s Recession\" href=\"http:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/topic\/construction\/\" target=\"_blank\"> construction jobs<\/a> were hardest-hit by the housing bust and subsequent recession. Almost half of the sector&#8217;s jobs have vanished since 2007.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Although there was a small uptick in construction in the first half of 2012, a large scale recovery will not start until 2013. It should grow 2.8% in that year, followed by 5.3% growth in 2014 and 4.5% growth in 2015. There are expected to be over 33,000 construction jobs in the Idaho economy in 2015. Some of the projected strength in the construction sector will come from a few large scale construction projects.&#8221; &#8211; DFM&#8217;s July Forecast<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>You can read DFM&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/dfm.idaho.gov\/Publications\/EAB\/Forecast\/2012\/July\/ieffulldocument_July2012.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">full forecast here<\/a>.\u00a0 It also includes pessimistic and optimistic alternatives.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Idaho&#8217;s chief economist predicts the state will remain in growth mode over the next few years, but the rate of that growth has been ratcheted down. The Division of Financial Management&#8217;s quarterly economic forecast, authored by chief economist Derek Santos, lays out employment and sector growth through 2015. The latest report estimates Idaho will continue [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":5271,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[12],"tags":[49,57,50,46],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9495"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9495"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9495\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9524,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9495\/revisions\/9524"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5271"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9495"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9495"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateimpact.npr.org\/idaho\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9495"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}